The slow painful walk back from Brexit…

Why are politicians of many mainstream parties not coming clean? I am thinking of Labour, the LibDems and exiled Tories. They shy away from support for joining the single market or full scale EU membership for fear of opening old Brexit wounds.

A bold move on closer EU alignment might just be what this government needs…

Grow a backbone. Recent opinion polls are damning of Brexit. Only 31% of voters now think it was the right decision to leave the EU. 61% of voters say Brexit has been more of a failure than a success. Johnson and the Conservative Party take the most blame followed by a host of former Tory leaders and, of course, the lovely Nigel Farage. This is why it will be a long road back to power for the Conservatives and why this blog believes we are ‘enjoying’ peak support for Reform UK who have flatlined on 27% of the vote share.

Just pop the impact of Brexit into AI. UK GDP is 6-10% lower than it would have been without Brexit, business investment is 12-18% lower, productivity 3-4% lower, jobs are 1.8 million fewer, UK trade has fallen relative to our economy’s size. The list goes on. Brexit has been a disaster. And that is before the changed national security environment where the whole of Europe is threatened by Russia.

The Labour government are tip toeing back into the EU’s ambit. It is called a ‘pragmatic reset’ apparently. Ties are deepening through agreements on trade such as a veterinary agreement, recognition of professional qualifications etc. but it is painfully slow. It has just been announced that the UK is finally set to rejoin the Erasmus student exchange scheme from 2027. Whoopee!

Government is painfully slow. It is why Labour is being so punished in the polls. Surely aligning with the EU at least in terms of the single market would be a bold and mostly popular move, particularly as leaving the EU has hardly curbed immigration…

Of course there is one major blockage. The EU currently really doesn’t want the psycho drama of Britain rejoining the EU, particularly with Reform UK riding high in the polls. And I guess, who could blame them?

What a mess. The UK political system has done huge damage to our economic future and national security, from the referendum itself to the way we left the EU. Moderate politicians of all parties should make this clear and move fast to correct the impact. You never know, it might even help them at the polls…

P.S. One more blog this year. I promise it will be festive…😁

Trump appalls at almost every level

A wise Sky News commentator said about Trump before his election that his world view was just to carve up the globe between three admirable (in his eyes) strongmen; Xi, Putin and himself. This amoral/immoral approach with little role for democracy appears to be the driving force behind the Trump administration’s new national security strategy published last Friday.

It trashes Europe, warning the continent is ‘subverting democracy’ and faces ‘civilisational erasure’ from high migration. What a load of nonsense and all this coming from a government that is domestically subverting the rule of law, issuing pardons to murderers (January 6th) and drug traffickers. And that is before wide scale state capture as Trump and his cronies enrich themselves at home and abroad, mixing foreign affairs with private business interests.

This sorry national security strategy goes on to attack the EU generally but depicts Russia as no longer a security threat. Selling out Ukraine seems to be a priority, reinforced by a disgraceful interview with Trump yesterday. Meanwhile, China is pushed down America’s list of priorities and consequently, its power grows ever stronger. Lastly, not covered by this document is the mismanagement of India, a future superpower in its own right which is being driven into the arms of Putin via sanctions. And what is the obsession with Venezuela?

The US under Trump and JD Vance can no longer be seen as a friend of democracy or a remotely reliable ally of the UK or Europe. Perhaps the Sky News commentator was too cautious in his assessment of Trump…

It all makes grim reading and grimmer listening. I am a news junky but during my recent trip to the US felt the need to avoid any television, being sick of the sight and sound of Trump.

Sick of the sight and sound of him…

Then back at home, culturally, as the Trump administration seeks to row back from any form of political correctness on the grounds of ‘freedom’, Trump not only threatens universities, museums and media outlets, but has starkly seized control of the Kennedy Center now referring to it as the Trump Kennedy Center. At the weekend, Trump personally hosted the Center’s annual honors gala, politicising the whole event, rewarding his cronies in front of a MAGA friendly crowd. No wonder ticket sales generally at this venerable institution have plummeted.

The damage Trump is now doing to the fabric of this nation is incalculable. Collapsing approval ratings for Trump’s actions are no protection and focus turns increasingly to the mid-term elections next year to curtail his power. Democrats, responsible for Trump’s victory in the first place and currently in disarray, are not guaranteed to win. Incalculable damage may turn into irreversible damage and that is very bad news for all of us.

The best of human nature…

This blog is sometimes accused of being too gloomy so here are a couple of personal stories which happened recently to put cheer in your soul as the Christmas season heads towards us.

At the weekend, on my way to the gym, I stupidly lost my wallet in the same manner as I did a few months ago. I didn’t shove it down firmly enough in the pocket of my casual trousers and it fell out. I was bereft, particularly as I am travelling to Spain for a conference this week. I checked with nearby supermarkets and the police station to see if it had been handed in but to no avail. Stomping home 20 mins away, a man was nervously hovering outside my house. A bit odd but I had an intuition he might have some good news for me and indeed he did! He had found my wallet and my address from the driving licence. Despite running a small coffee shop, he made the effort to hand it back as soon as possible and wanted no compensation in return. How kind is that? I said would he mind if I gave him a hug (he didn’t) and now I am looking for his coffee shop, so far in vain, to hand him some chocolates as a modest thank you. I will keep looking.

Second, (it has been a tough few weeks…!) I found myself in a New York hospital on a business trip. Entirely my fault. I suffer from bad jetlag and had not slept properly for days, let alone the disruption to my appetite. I respond by being out for dinner most nights and exercising probably excessively. I forget my age… Anyway, I was sent to the nearest hospital for a check-up. Umm…it was Bellevue, one of the oldest hospitals in the country and the only ‘free’ one in Manhattan. It appears regularly in TV dramas apparently, and I can see why…

Bellevue Hospital, New York. It looks better from the outside…

Gunshot victims, prison detainees, listening to the wails of patients with serious mental health issues, tails of heartbreaking poverty and lack of any affordable healthcare support was an almost overwhelming experience and hardly the backdrop for recovery! But it was hugely positive to watch the staff respond with compassion and patience regardless of the mostly grim circumstances. It is 24/7 for them. I also met Destiny, the daughter of a patient who was seriously ill, and she kept me sane with fantastic humour despite her financial worries of how to pay for her mother’s healthcare. A truly beautiful person inside and out. We are still in touch. My only complaint was that I was over-treated I think possibly because I could pay… I was sent home with the results of endless tests all absolutely fine, a hypochondriac’s dream. However, my abiding feeling from all this was, whatever its faults, thank goodness for the NHS. We should never take it and people who work in it for granted.

Back to politics for the next couple of weeks and then I will try and summon some festive cheer…